Daily (11.10.2018): WTI crude dropped by 2.4% on Wednesday as forecasts for lower economic growth curbed the demand for oil

11/10/2018 11:01 Daily

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Oil crude prices slipped on Wednesday as the International Monetary Fund (IMF) mitigated its global growth projections in its latest World Economic Outlook report, reducing the demand for oil. However, the losses were capped as Hurricane Michael led to the shutdown of roughly 40% of Gulf of Mexico’s crude oil production. 

 

Brent crude closed at $83.09 a barrel, representing a 2.3% loss. WTI crude tumbled by 2.4% to settle at $73.17 a barrel.

British wholesale gas prices were slightly bearish on Wednesday, as higher temperatures and stronger wind generation curbed demand for natural gas for heating. Consequently, NBP spot price dipped by 2.5% to 65.70 p/therm. Further along the curve, the price for 2019 delivery contract traded 2.7% lower at 65.61 p/therm. 

 

European spot power prices lost ground on Wednesday.  German day-ahead power price slumped by 12.6% to end at 54.35 EUR/MWh, on expectations for lower consumption. Meanwhile, the equivalent contract in France lost 4% to end at 65.31 EUR/MWh, in spite of outages at  EDF’s 1,500 MW Chooz 1 nuclear reactor starting Thursday and lasting until October 22nd.

 

There was also a bearish trend in electricity prices on the curve, tracking the downward evolution in carbon emissions, gas and coal markets. The German baseload 2019-delivery contract traded 3.6 % lower at 53.27 EUR/MWh. Meanwhile, the French equivalent contract settled at 57.61 EUR/MWh, posting a 3.4 % loss.

 

European carbon contracts dropped further on Wednesday in another volatile session, closing below €20 for the first time this month, thus hitting a three-week low. The price for the contract expiring in 2019 plummeted by 7% to reach 20.20 euros a tonne.

Daily (09.01.2019): German spot power contract was 15.9% higher on Tuesday on low wind output

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The strong upward evolution in oil prices on Tuesday was caused mainly by OPEC-led crude production cuts. The bullish trend was also backed by signs of progress in U.S.-China trade talks. Officials of the world’s two biggest economies expressed optimism on resolving the dispute. Brent crude soared by 2.4% to $58.72 a barrel, while WTI crude jumped by 2.6% to $49.78 a barrel.

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