Jul 4, 2025
Sweden is expected to experience a decline in wind energy growth after 2027.
Sweden is experiencing a significant decline in wind energy expansion after 2027, according to recent data from Green Power Sweden.
No new turbine orders were made in the second quarter of 2025, continuing a negative trend that started last year and reflects greater uncertainty in the industry.
Approximately 2GW of capacity is currently being built and is expected to be completed by 2027, but Green Power Sweden cautioned that a substantial decrease in development is anticipated thereafter.
Anton Johansson, head of analysis and marketing at Green Power Sweden, stated, “We see a significantly reduced wind power expansion after 2027.”
He expressed concern, noting that wind and solar power, along with energy storage, are essential to meet Sweden's increasing electricity demand until 2035.
Electricity demand from Swedish industry is estimated to rise by 66–81TWh by 2035, according to the industry energy coalition, SKGS.
Green Power Sweden linked the stagnation in investment decisions to persistent fluctuations in electricity prices, political instability, high development costs, and lengthy timelines for grid connections.
The current expansion is driven by investment choices made in 2021 and 2022.
In 2024, only two new permits for wind farms were issued – one onshore and one offshore – with municipal vetoes and military objections cited as major challenges.
Johansson noted that the environmental permits granted now are for projects potentially starting to deliver electricity in the early 2030s.
He questioned where the increased electricity supply demanded by industries would come from, given that investment decisions for already licensed projects are stalling.
He urged for “powerful political measures” to reverse this trend and ensure ongoing capacity growth.
Green Power Sweden’s quarterly market statistics rely on data from project developers and turbine suppliers, as well as publicly accessible information.
Future reports will also monitor large-scale solar and storage developments, which the organization believes will be crucial in meeting industry demand through 2035.
No new turbine orders were made in the second quarter of 2025, continuing a negative trend that started last year and reflects greater uncertainty in the industry.
Approximately 2GW of capacity is currently being built and is expected to be completed by 2027, but Green Power Sweden cautioned that a substantial decrease in development is anticipated thereafter.
Anton Johansson, head of analysis and marketing at Green Power Sweden, stated, “We see a significantly reduced wind power expansion after 2027.”
He expressed concern, noting that wind and solar power, along with energy storage, are essential to meet Sweden's increasing electricity demand until 2035.
Electricity demand from Swedish industry is estimated to rise by 66–81TWh by 2035, according to the industry energy coalition, SKGS.
Green Power Sweden linked the stagnation in investment decisions to persistent fluctuations in electricity prices, political instability, high development costs, and lengthy timelines for grid connections.
The current expansion is driven by investment choices made in 2021 and 2022.
In 2024, only two new permits for wind farms were issued – one onshore and one offshore – with municipal vetoes and military objections cited as major challenges.
Johansson noted that the environmental permits granted now are for projects potentially starting to deliver electricity in the early 2030s.
He questioned where the increased electricity supply demanded by industries would come from, given that investment decisions for already licensed projects are stalling.
He urged for “powerful political measures” to reverse this trend and ensure ongoing capacity growth.
Green Power Sweden’s quarterly market statistics rely on data from project developers and turbine suppliers, as well as publicly accessible information.
Future reports will also monitor large-scale solar and storage developments, which the organization believes will be crucial in meeting industry demand through 2035.