The Governor of the Bank of England, Andrew Bailey, stated on Wednesday that the bank is not considering interest rate cuts at this time, even with oil prices returning to levels seen before the Iran conflict.
"There were expectations of a rate cut this year, which seemed reasonable given a slowing economy. However, that option was off the table in March and remains so now," Bailey remarked during a European Central Bank conference in Sintra, Portugal.
Other speakers at the conference, including the new Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh, voiced their disagreement with the idea of providing "forward guidance" regarding their policy intentions. A slight majority of economists surveyed by Reuters believe the BoE will maintain current rates this year, while financial markets anticipate about a 75% likelihood of a single quarter-point increase, a decrease from earlier projections of three hikes following the onset of the conflict.
Bailey reiterated his earlier stance, voiced after the BoE chose to keep rates steady last month, that there is no urgency for making policy decisions. The bank can afford to wait to assess how fluctuations in oil prices, which are now decreasing, impact the economy in Britain.
Bailey also noted the challenge in predicting energy price trends, as futures prices for oil and gas have not proven reliable indicators. "One of the issues we've been grappling with, and have struggled with for years, is the futures prices for oil and gas. Historically, they have been poor indicators. Unfortunately, most other indicators are also not very reliable," he commented when asked about his least favorite data points.
Jul 2, 2026
Bank of England's Bailey states that rate cuts are not being considered for Britain.
